Marshall vs UAB 11/10/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Marshall winning 48% of simulations, and UAB 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Marshall commits fewer turnovers in 49% of simulations and they go on to win 58% when they take care of the ball. UAB wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Rakeem Cato is averaging 290 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (43% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Austin Brown is averaging 299 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (36% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UAB +3
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